geopolitical risk consulting
3. Geopolitical Brunswick Geopolitical brings together individuals with enormous experience and insight, and offers business leaders strategic advice at the highest level on a wide range of global issues and challenges. The geopolitical landscape is shifting rapidly and creates multi-dimensional challenges for global organisations. Geostrategic Business Group | EY - Global Close search Trending Why Chief Marketing Officers should be central to every transformation 31 Jan 2023 Consulting The CEO Imperative: How will CEOs respond to a new recession reality? According to the World Economic Forum in its 2023 Global . The 16th edition of the Global Risks Report, published by the World Economic Forum with support from Marsh McLennan, highlights the disruptive implications of major risks, including the COVID-19 pandemic, that may reshape our world in 2021 and over the next decade. Such a test would include a time frame for execution and possible technical options. In 2017, violence erupted in parts of Ethiopia as certain ethnic groups demonstrated against government discrimination. Derek Leatherdale and Hanif Barma from the Risk Coalition identify in this article the key things that any board or risk committee should consider in the context of the complex and volatile geopolitical environment in which business now operates. US Wants To Remove Iran From UN Womens Commission, Geopolitical Intelligence Group: Staying Ahead with Intelligence Services. 4. strategy. | Eurasia Group is the world's leading global political risk research and consulting firm. Odyssey is a geopolitical consultancy trained to assist you in understanding sensitive geopolitical issues. Instead, they depend on personnel from government relations, strategy, and other business functions to identify and mitigate risks, with one function coordinating and consolidating input. We have developed an analytical tool for assessing an organizations geopolitical risk management practices and opportunity. As a result, the company was able to significantly expand its cloud business and gain advantage over competitors that were slower to act. To ingrain the importance of external relations throughout their organizations, some companies rotate high performers and potential candidates for upper management into country leadership positions, where risk management becomes one of their duties. Such a unit could, for example, analyze political events that threaten to disrupt the companys operations materially or prepare responses to government inquiries into sensitive topics. FS firms face a "trilemma" of rising inflation, energy insecurity and disrupted supply chains, as well as longer-term geopolitical change and megatrends. Provide cogent geopolitical risk . As one of the country's top political consulting firms, Global Strategy Group has worked with many diverse and high-profile clients to serve a range of unique needs. After consulting with top business leaders and legal, public-policy, and risk professionals at Fortune 500 companies in multiple industries, we suggest that company leaders can use a five-pronged approach to managing geopolitical risk. Yet, companies find Geopolitical Risk difficult to fully understand and even more challenging to manage. Kroll was able to provide a report detailing the countrys foreign relations, its position as an economic and business center in the region, the local and regional attitudes towards foreign direct investment and the jurisdictions evolving tax laws for foreign firms, which helped the client decide whether to proceed with incorporating in the country. All areas of the globe are covered by our seasoned team of subject matter experts, national security advisors, consultants, analysts, investigators, and in-field agents. Any discussion of such potentially existential issues must start at the top. Business strategy and operational efficiency require constant evaluation in a complex and often volatile environment. Geopolitical risk, however, is unlike credit, liquidity, or counterparty default risk. "speed": 600, When companies consider opportunities in emerging or volatile markets whether through acquisition, merger or growth it is essential for them to understand the potential impact that geopolitical events can have on their business activities. Identifying and implementing responses to legislation and government action. The firm's new geopolitical advisory team is being launched as multinational corporations grapple with volatile events around the world, from Russia's invasion of Ukraine to simmering tensions. An escalation of geopolitical events can lead to outright wars . Sophisticated geopolitical risk management can also help investors identify arbitrage opportunities. Every organization we studied relies on input and expertise from the field. Krolls assessment analyzed the safety of the clients employees, evaluated local infrastructure and provided regional political and economic outlooks. Most companies do not have a dedicated team of full-time employees devoted to geopolitical risk management. . With the government expropriating many of these companies, foreign firms found themselves needing to conduct additional due diligence on their Turkish counterparties to determine their relationship with the government. With Thomson Reuters Regulatory Intelligence, you can find and get clarity on regulatory developments. Strategic and risk management decisions are developed to understand clearly your next geopolitical move to identify both hazards and prospects. Whats their secret? Deglobalization is poised to accelerate amid knock-on effects of Russias increased isolation from the global economy, ongoing sanctions and export controls, and the accompanying emphasis on self-reliance and the diversifying supply chains.. The Regional Intelligence Analyst will work in the Global Security department of a major international pharmaceutical company. Speaking to the Atlantic Council recently, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned that it is imperative for the United States to work with China to avoid a bipolar monetary order emerging from the war in Ukraine and ongoing geo-political conflicts. International Business, March 30, 2021 In 2016 following a failed coup d'tat, the Turkish government targeted domestic companies associated with the Turkish cleric Fethullah Glen, who it claimed was behind the attempt. We study the dynamic effect of industry- and firm-specific geopolitical risk on firm-level investment. Leverage unparalleled Companies are walking a geopolitical tightrope. Managing geopolitical risk. SVA ( www.stevevickersassociates.com) is a specialist international risk mitigation, corporate intelligence and risk consulting company. Reputational risk could be amplified if any or all of these risks are not mitigated properly. Marcin Grajewski, The EU strategic autonomy debate: What think tanks are thinking, European Parliament Think Tank, March 30, 2021, europarl.europa.eu. 2. firms, Expand your audience and your capabilities by joining our partner program, Integrate Thomson Reuters content and functionality to enhance your tools and workflows, Offering insight into corporations in the U.S. and abroad, Insights on issues concerning environmental, social, and governance topics, A look into the inner workings of government and the courts, Legal coverage focusing on the business and practice of law, Featuring an expanded insight into the world of tax professionals, Technology and innovation resource center, Exploring how technology and innovation will influence the evolution of future services, About Thomson In a global business environment characterized both by hypercompetition and intensifying geopolitical headwinds, it is no longer enough for companies with global footprints to only react defensively. With tectonic shifts in geopolitics rumbling from Chinas reemergence on the global stage, a climate crisis, and the Fourth Industrial Revolution, companies must be on guard. Companies should also be vigilant about risks presented by suppliers. As a management consultant, Dr. Smith has worked for PA Consulting Group . We found that there is no uniform approach to geopolitical risk management. Whats more, the COVID-19 pandemic has brought geopolitical risk factors into sharp relief. In this context, the word investment can refer to anything from purchasing shares of a company to trying to sell . In the aftermath of the US presidential election, CFOs appeared very optimisticwith that quarter's survey registering the sharpest uptick in sentiment in its seven-year history. & account inquiries, For CA: Do not sell my personal information. Many companies, both financial and non-financial, were caught off guard, despite Putin having telegraphed his intentions for months in advance. Sign in with your username. Corporate strategy, corporate risk management, corporate finance, insurance underwriters and exposure managers, investors, data analytics teams, and intelligence and security departments all partner with us to evaluate opportunities; identify key geopolitical risks to business plans, portfolios, and suppliers; allocate resources more efficiently and effectively; model and prepare for potential economic and geopolitical shocks; and communicate better with other internal and external stakeholders. Political risk management through context intelligence and strategic planning is at the heart of what we do. and risk management resources for todays professional services 11 Jan 2023 CEO agenda Six ways asset managers can prepare for an uncertain future 2 Feb 2023 Wealth and asset management Sometimes, the payoff is simply that the company can continue doing business as usual. New market entry A compact could include a traffic-light-style warning system with red, yellow, and green lights that represent escalating risk levels. Geopolitical risks affecting banks or banks customers have expanded significantly in recent years, according to a global survey report issued late last year from consulting firm EY. Financial risks have probably never been more acute. In 2020, it will move beyond strategic tech . Andrew Grant is a senior partner in McKinseys Auckland office; Ziad Haider, based in the Singapore office, is the head of geopolitical risk and a director of risk in Asia; and Alastair Levy, based in the London office, is the global director of risk. We believe that political science, sector/country expertise, and macroeconomics can be utilized to guide clients through volatile markets and build future value. Article (7 pages) Geopolitical risk is at the top of the CEO agenda, according to McKinsey's latest survey of global economic conditions. (2019). Not surprisingly, several oil and gas companieswhich often make large, long-term investments in high-risk countries amid frequently shifting environmental-protection policiesfall in this category. Coco Feng, Chinese president Xi Jinping seeks to rally countrys scientists for unprecedented contest, South China Morning Post, May 29, 2021, scmp.com. Prudent geopolitical risk management also requires understanding how to deal with issues that cross borders. Nearly half of bank CROs (48%) plan to broaden methods for identifying new or emerging political risks and a quarter plan to build new tools for qualitative tracking and reporting on political risk measures.. Understand counterparty risk with forward-looking analysis of reputational, legal and political risks associated with new or existing partners, Risk Quantification One energy company, for example, established a country chair position, which is typically assigned to the most senior business executive in a given country and is seen as a prestigious step toward advancement to top management. A quick message or email to the global functional marketing, finance, or risk community, the company told us, allows for rapid troubleshooting, the cross-pollination of insights, and the sharing of best practices. Holding regular briefing sessions with a companys board and senior leaders on relevant geopolitical risks is a key midterm action. Not engaging in such discussions in the current geopolitical context would be malpractice. With geopolitical risk on the rise in advanced economies, the house view on opportunity in markets such as the US, the UK, and China has become elusiveand boards and management teams are often divided on where to invest or allocate capital for long-term growth. And differences can dissolve into disagreements about risk and The teams can use the relationships that they develop with officials to share the companys perspectives on key issues and gain insights about potential regulatory actions or sanctions that could affect it. The organization saw a troubling trend in a number of key markets that could potentially threaten its growing cloud-storage business: mounting anxiety on the part of policymakers and customers, who were worried that local governments could access confidential data kept on servers in certain countries. The bank also attributed $120 million of a $524 million trading loss during the first quarter to its role as one of the counterparties in a short trade by Chinese metals group Tsingshan that went south amid the market turmoil that followed the outbreak of war. Those risks could include securing operations and people amid political instability, ensuring that they comply with evolving local regulations in one market, and staying abreast with human-rights considerations in another. Any copying or distribution of Eurasia Group materials is prohibited. One test could explore the conditions in which the company may be compelled to ring-fence its IT infrastructure (to protect against cyberattacks or comply with regulatory requirements) or split off its business in a particular region. Please feel free contact with us if you have any further questions or concerns, Level 1, 102 Bennelong Parkway, Stay connected with us and get all latest updates. Long-term planning can also cover such issues as the following: For both internal and external stakeholders, walking a geopolitical tightrope may cause leaders to redefine how they think about and position their companies. Leaders can cultivate cohesiveness by bringing key stakeholders to the table to share views on a given engagement or project. A strong cross-functional interface is critical, especially for companies that take a holistic approach to risk assessment. Each event carries it own risks, and each risk its own consequences. @ Thomson Reuters, Sales Our intelligence analysts are building on 20 years experience in understanding political risks faced by our clients in insurance and financial services. But so do some pharmaceutical, technology, and packaged goods companies. One Western energy company, for instance, credited the skills and transparency of its government relations staff for being able to operate simultaneously in two Middle Eastern nations despite strong political tensions between the two governments. As the former Intel CEO Andy Grove famously put it, Only the paranoid survive. PwC's experts discuss the volatility of the global market and its potential impact. 5 Supporting the growth of Control Risks' Embedded & Security Consulting practices throughout APAC. Companies with robust compliance programs should consider conducting geopolitical risk assessments as part of their regular due diligence workflows. The Volatility and Risk Institute has embarked on a study of geopolitical risk and its relation to financial risks. Enter your username or email to reset your password. We offer our . <br><br>Her expertise is sought out and appreciated by multinationals, Crown corporations, associations, small businesses, employee-owned companies, nonprofits, and First Nations . Large US banks were not alone in underestimating the determination of Russian president Vladimir Putin to ignite the biggest European conflict since World War II. Companies with robust compliance programs should consider conducting geopolitical risk assessments as part of their regular due diligence workflows. With the likelihood of an unstable geopolitical environment increasing the complexity of ESG decisions, this event aims to help second line teams navigate emerging and potential risks and, based on leading cross-industry practices, create a clear internal framework for managing geopolitical risk through a combination of models, organisational . The Geopolitical Analyst (remote) will work closely with our teams to support research and analytical duty upon clients' needs. 08 March 2022. Building a more holistic and entrepreneurial approach requires action in all three dimensions: enhancing the strategic role of risk management, ingraining it into the organization, and developing robust processes. Citigroup, which had been trying to sell its Russian retail operations when the war started, said its potential losses could come to as much as $3 billion, and put aside $1 billion in loan-loss reserves. Economic and Geopolitical scenarios All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, age, religion, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity / expression, national origin, protected veteran status, or any other characteristic protected under federal, state or local law, where applicable, and those with criminal histories will be considered in a manner consistent with applicable state and local laws.Pursuant to Transparency in Coverage final rules (85 FR 72158) set forth in the United States by The Departments of the Treasury, Labor, and Health and Human Services click here to access required Machine Readable Files or here to access the Federal No Surprises Bill Act Disclosure. In-depth analysis, they recognize, does not come solely from algorithms. Designed for pro-active corporate security teams with granular forecasts and location specific risk analysis for 211 geographies. Regulatory Burdens Major geopolitical events can often arise quickly and unpredictably. "Heightened political risk globally raises the threshold for unrest, with implications for shipping, such as the ability to secure crews and access ports safely. Boston Consulting Group partners with leaders in business and society to tackle their most important challenges and capture their greatest opportunities. trust us to help them make informed decisions, Professional services In much the same way that companies screen for ultimate beneficial ownership or reputational risk as part of their pre-investment or pre-partnership due diligence processes, companies should conduct geopolitical due diligence before entering an emerging or volatile market or ahead of a business partnership with a company in a jurisdiction that they dont have a deep understanding of. Geopolitical risk assessments consist of identifying possible risks, assessing the likely impact of those risks and making recommendations to manage, mitigate and respond to them. . Access daily analysis of world events, detailed country reports, proprietary country and sovereign risk ratings, and comprehensive economic forecasts and historical data to assess your companys investments and future growth, Foresight Security for Corporate Security many global companies are seeking their own form of strategic autonomy to navigate ChinaUS relations. The Position . Independent data and analysis for opportunity sizing, local partner selection, government stakeholder assessment and risk assessment. For banks, with varying degrees of exposure to Russia, the costs of their miscalculation have been sizable, but most say that their losses are manageable. It could also apply the system to the entities with which it does business, separating those with which a local office can work without needing additional approval from those that need risk approval and those with which an office should never work with. 1 In 2017, France started mandating large French companies to conduct human rights due diligence, requiring them to establish and publish corporate vigilance plans to prevent adverse human rights impacts. Case Study 2 Responsibilities: Provide cogent geopolitical risk analysis to a diverse array of clients and various internal teams in written or recorded deliverables. Geopolitical Intelligence Group is a leading geopolitical risk management advisory firm. Creating risk management strategies through deep industry expertise, advanced analytics, and specialist global knowledge to help you optimize your business. . We help companies anticipate and quantify critical external strategic business risks that might adversely impact their investments, personnel, interests, and assets anywhere in the world. Holistic-risk evaluators have the most highly developed geopolitical risk management operations. Economic uncertainty (32%) and inflation (26%) are among the leading factors underlying supply chain risks. However, it added, only a subset of chief risk officers (CROs) recognize this.. Geopolitical events can manifest themselves in many ways. By using our website you consent to our Terms and Conditions and Privacy Policy, including the transfer of your personal data to the United States from your country of residence (if different), and our use of cookies as described in our Cookie Policy. Get the latest news and intelligence on global issues impacting business, politics, economics, military, security and energy. International Trade, We hosted our 6th annual Top 10 Geopolitical Risks event today with KPMG global alliance partner, Eurasia Group, and we highlighted the relevance of the risks New York NY 10055. Something went wrong. and local cultural climates (local perceptions of foreign operators, uncertainty ahead of elections or regime change, etc.). your toughest business challenges, Government professionals Marcin Grajewski, The EU strategic autonomy debate: What think tanks are thinking, European Parliament Think Tank, March 30, 2021, europarl.europa.eu. Even leading global companies within the same industry can differ sharply, depending on their corporate cultures and geopolitical risk appetites. Russia's invasion of Ukraine has . Some may, for commercial and strategic reasons, choose to strengthen ties to the countries where the companies are based. Some of these political consulting clients include: Airbnb. "autoplaySpeed":8000 What may be more worrying than the financial losses, say experts, is the mindset of those leading large US institutions and a sense of complacency regarding the risks of doing business abroad. "dots": false, Yet few companies consistently act on it. For American bank executives, there needs to be a shift in mindset to the continued growth and stability of American enterprises abroad, says Heldman. Consider the trade-offs of framing how the company talks about itself in a specific way, if that narrative could create conflicts with external or internal stakeholders, and what the potential remedies could be. Ahead with Intelligence Services: do not sell my personal information what we do parts of Ethiopia as ethnic... Is critical, especially for companies that geopolitical risk consulting a holistic approach to risk assessment erupted in of... 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